Category Archives: Educational

Cyclically Adjusted Price / Earnings – CAPE

Here is a good article explaining CAPE. CAPE is basically a way of telling how reasonably priced the whole market is. At the top of a bubble CAPE will be high, and in a slump, low.

If this was boiled down to one lesson it would mean to take caution when CAPE is high, be greedy when others are fearful ie when CAPE is low. This is because historically CAPE returns to its long run average.

http://www.ukvalueinvestor.com/2013/01/an-alternative-to-stock-market-forecasts.html/

UK Value Investor is a great site for those wishing to beat the market investing in large FTSE companies but with little effort. I think there might be a small subscription charge but Johns Kingham’s methods are pure common sense.

Profiting from spin offs oppurtunity ala Joel Greenblatt. ALNT and CKSN

I’ve just finished the chapter in Joel Greenblatts book on Spin-offs and how the canny private investor can profit from them. I did a quick google for ”spin off lse” today and noticed the Cookson group has very recently split into two new companies – Vesuvius and Alent. One is to do with steel, the other ceramics/chemicals i believe. A cursory glance is all i’ve given to this situation to see if Joel’s principles could apply in this spin off situation. The answer is that they do not. Both new companies have large market caps and so are accessible to an institutional investor. This eliminates the small investor advantge.

That’s not to say that either company may not be a good investment on its own merit, but that the opportunity inherent from a specific type of spin off can not be found here on account of the large market caps of both new companies. Never mind, at least i’m putting my new analytical skills into practice.

 

Snappy Intro Series – Introduction summaries for the aspiring investor

I have been interested in shares and investments for a couple of years now. I have learnt a tremendous amount but am still fresh enough to remember the ignorance of my beginnings and the biases I unknowingly held. That’s not to say I’m free from bias, but certainly less so.

I want to set out a series of posts on different sectors of the market and summarise what I’ve learnt from my own experiences and from what I’ve read on the web. I hope they are succinct, snappy and mostly an accurate assessment .
I’ll be starting with mining companies…